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Saturday Racing Tips and Previews July 7 - best chances for Australian horse racing on Saturday

  • Guide to Saturday's best bets and previews
  • In-depth previews of the feature races and selections to back

Read our complete guide to the best bets for July 7, racing at Belmont, Doomben, Flemington, Gawler, Gold Coast, Newcastle, Randwick and Toowoomba.

BELMONT (Aaron Hamilton)

No reason to jump off FIRE AND RAIN despite him going up in weight and meeting Kiss The Breeze 1.5kg worse at the weights. He jumped two lengths slower than Kiss The Breeze who fired out of the gates, but he still had enough early speed to drive through and lead. He improved significantly second and third-up last campaign so he should have plenty of upside following that last start win. Although he’s won his only start at Belmont, he has won four from four trials at the track so is technically five from five. The Soft track will be a query for most of these, but Fire And Rain’s 7.5-length trial win on a Soft track leaves no doubt he’s suited. 

Although FLOYD is unbeaten in three second-up attempts and you would assume he improves with a run under his belt, he mostly runs quicker time first-up but has just been beaten by a better one on three occasions. Floyd won on debut, but Interestingly, it’s Snow Lord that has defeated him in two of his other three first-up runs, while Blitzen Someday has also defeated him first-up. There is no Snow Lord or Blitzem Someday here and I’m expecting Floyd to bring his brilliant fresh form to what looks a very winnable contest. 

DOOMBEN (Steve Bennett)

Race 2 - 12:17PM HOTEL BEACH HOUSE Fillies & Mares BenchMark 85 Handicap (1350 METRES)
The Tony Sears-trained DON’T TELL MAMA is coming off a long freshen-up and has very good fresh form. Four starts back, she was coming off a six-week let-up and carried 59kgs to beat home a BM80 field here over the 1350m trip. Her last two starts were in open company over much longer journeys where the distances proved too much for her. This assignment sees her with plenty of boxes ticked. The six-year-old mare is a three-time winner at the track and trip and has similar success on soft tracks. After the claim she carries 56kgs and on fresh legs looks right in the mix.
Race 4 - 1:27PM CASA CIBO BenchMark 80 Handicap (2040 METRES)
Finishing top three at his last five starts, READY FOR DANGER couldn’t be in better form. The More Than Ready gelding has shown a real liking to the longer trips, winning two of his last three. Three starts back he won a class 5 over 1800m on a heavy Gold Coast track then backed that up 10 days later with another victory at the same track over 2200m. Last start he was involved in a three-way photo on Ipswich Cup day where he finished second, nosed out by I Feel Good in a BM80 over 2150m. This will be his first look at the Doomben track but certainly measures up to his opposition, Honey Toast being the exception however the Ben Currie-trained seven-year-old has to carry the grandstand with 65kgs on his back. Ready For Danger looks ready to win again.
Race 9 - 4:37PM HERVEY BAY HOTEL & RESORT Colts, Geldings & Entires BenchMark 85 Hcp (1350 METRES)
Unlucky at his last start, NO ANNAMOSSITY gets his chance here to atone. The Mossman four-year-old has returned from a five-month break in top order with top three finishes at all three starts this time in. Second-up, he beat home a BM75 field by almost two lengths over the 1350m trip. Then last start, after a five-week let-up, he took on a class 6 field and with a muddling pace lost his position in running. He was the held up in the run home and had to cross around several runners before finding daylight. He finished strongly to come within two lengths of Manaya. Drawn ideally in gate one here, he should again enjoy a soft run mid-field with cover and could possibly secure a rails run on the turn where he should prove very hard to beat in the run home. Sword Of Justice looks the main danger and watch for Lord Coconuts first-up.

FLEMINGTON (Aaron Hamilton)

Race 2 - 12:25PM VRC-CRV Cup Tour Trophy (2000 METRES)
Darren Weir saddles up four of the nine runners in this event and SIXTIES GROOVE looks the pick of them. The import was good in his Australian debut after a year-long lay-off before a disappointing second-up effort where he looked a bit flat. He bounced back last start with a 2nd placing behind stablemate Pacodali but just peaked on his run late. He should be near peak fitness now and will prove hard to beat. 

Race 6 - 2:50PM Banjo Paterson Series Final (2600 METRES)
I think drawing barrier 6 gives the advantage back to CHOYSA here. He led all the way to score two starts ago from barrier 6, but then an inside gate worked against him last time as he was crossed early and got shuffled back to the tail. Jockey Kate Walters got out wide and made a midrace move to go and take the lead, and that would have taken plenty out of him, but when he was headed in the straight and clearly passed, he kept kicking and was actually gaining ground again in the final 100m. He’s won two 3000m races last campaign and looks best suited going up in trip slightly, while he also meets Lycurgus 2.5kg better at the weights. Walters can let him find his rhythm this time and gradually creep to the lead, and if he can bowl along up front and set up a big break like two starts back, I can’t see them catching him. Looks like a special for the day. 

Race 7 - 3:30PM A.R. Creswick Series Final (1200 METRES)
On the strength of his last start win, NATURE STRIP is clearly the one to beat. He meets the 2nd and 3rd placed horses much better at the weights despite braining them and running blistering sectionals in a near track record performance. As he long as he can run 1200m as strong as he does 1100m, nothing will get near him. 

GAWLER (Aaron Hamilton)

Race 1 - 12:06PM Freeling Football Club Handicap (1200 METRES)
CROCKETT is obviously one of Tony McEvoy’s top two-year-olds considering he was aimed at the Magic Millions with stablemate Sunlight who won the juvenile feature. The son of All American impressed first-up when charging home from the rear to finish 3rd behind Assertive Play who has franked the form with another win. Jockey Andrew Mallyon reported he was off the bit for the entire race and will appreciate further, so the step up from 1050m to 1200m is ideal. With expected improvement on his fresh run, barrier 2 and Jamie Kah going aboard, he’s the one to beat. 

Race 3 - 1:16PM Goldin Farms - Akeed Mofeed BM70 Handicap (1500 METRES)
Darren Weir send Brad Rawiller to South Australia for just two rides, and NIGHT FALLS looks the pick of them as well as having the strongest form in this event. He overraced and was narrowly defeated by Hellova Babe when stepping up to 1500m for the first time, but with 25 days between runs he bounced back to score a convincing win over 1400m at Warrnambool on a Heavy track. He should land in the perfect trailing position from the inside gate and just needs some luck getting clear at the top of the straight to be winning this. 

Race 5 - 2:31PM Chateau Yaldara BM64 Handicap (1100 METRES)
I was really impressed with the recent barrier trial of NODOUBTABOUTIT where she defeated It’s Time For Magic who subsequently finished 2nd in a strong BM75 at Morphettville last Saturday. This is much easier than that event and Nodoubtaboutit clearly had It’s Time For Magic covered in the trial despite that horse having a fitness advantage. The wide gate is a bit tricky, but with a 3kg claim from in-form apprentice Kayla Crowther, she’s well weighted and should be too good for these with her great fresh record. 

GOLD COAST (Steve Bennett)

Race 3 - 11:58AM RONDO STEEL STUD AND TRACK Colts, Geldings and Entires Maiden Handicap (1400 METRES)
After 22 starts, ESCAPADO is still in maiden class but that can all change here. The Love Conquers All gelding has always shown a preference for middle distances having finished in the minor money on six previous occasions in races over 1400m or more. Recently returning from a spell, he two runs to date were over 1300m and 1350m respectively and with those behind him now, he should be fitter and ready to show his best. He has drawn wide but has regular rider Ryan Plumb aboard here who will look for a sit back in the field. Expect improvement in him in the run home.

Race 8 - 2:58PM NORTH AUSTRALIAN CONTRACTING QTIS Three-Years-Old Handicap (1300 METRES)
The locally-trained Hinchinbrook filly COOL MOVER is a progressive type who has won two of her 10 starts and her latest effort was most impressive. Heading the field, she was left alone in front and enjoyed a soft run to the turn, then found another gear and left the rest to fight out the minors, going on to win by just over two lengths. She is drawn to enjoy a similar run today but may have to take a sit behind probable leader Masondale who looks to cross in front from his wide gate. If the pace is genuine, Cool Mover will still play a hand in the finish. She is second-up here and will strip fitter from her last start win.

Race 10 - 4:18PM RONDO EGM Class 1 Handicap (1200 METRES)
Third-up and ready to win, the Mel Eggleston-trained FLOREANA looks ideally placed here coming off two solid hit-outs. First-up after seven months in the paddock, she wasn’t disgraced in finishing sixth (2.25 lengths) over an unsuitable 900m sprint in class 1 company on this track. Then last start found the 1200m much more suitable and finished strongly to grab second prize behind Cool Mover (our tip in race 8). That was in BM62 company. The Snitzel filly comes back to class 1 grade here and with those runs behind her now, will be hard to hold out in this.

NEWCASTLE (Ric Chapman)

Match race in two between Be Mindful and MASCOT. I like the Team Hawkes Mascot - on the proviso they ride him behind the speed. If he leads, he will take catching but I think Be Mindful will do it. If he comes across and parks in the one, one, which is how I suggest they will ride him, I think he has too many guns over the final 200m. Intriguing race.

This may well prove to be a high class provincial 2YO race because a couple look gifted. I like HORN. I saw him trial and he was impressive. Not so on debut when well beaten 6th, but I think there were excuses like very heavy track, getting too far back etc. Follow up here.

This may be the best bet anywhere in the country. Chris Waller's 3YO SHADAL has won just one race, in England, but his effort at Canterbury last start when 3rd was better than any of these have ever run. Looks a special.

RANDWICK (Ric Chapman)

There is considerable interest and speculation about the sprinting ability of this Goulburn-trained filly HIGHWAY SIXTYSIX. She hasn't raced since November but the feeling is she will jump away brilliantly, cross the face of these and outsprint them down the running. Big advice: watch betting moves.

If the sun which shone upon Randwick on Thursday and reached 23 degrees stays in that mode, the track should dry out and play very fast for a winter meet. And that will suit MEDAILLE here. She can jump and go forward. Probably sits back on the fence in 2nd behind Wide Spread Panic and now that she is super fit, and weighted to win, I suspect she will be too classy down the running from La Chica bella.

I love this mare SHE KNOWS. She is in sensational form and to me is just about a weighted certainty.

TOOWOOMBA (Steve Bennett)

Race 2 - 6:00PM PUMA Warwick Class 3 Plate (1300 METRES)
Local training guru Ben Currie could be in for a big night here and his three-year-old colt LITTLE JOHN could well be amongst his success stories. After stringing two wins in a row, he was sent to the paddock for a spell. He returned in the same form he left, winning a class 2 first-up at Toowoomba. His resume reads very well here winning two of three at the track and a winner at the track and trip. His jockey, Skye Bogenhuber is three from three on his back and looks poised to make it four.

Race 4 - 7:10PM CSR Earthworks Class 1 Plate (1100 METRES)
Locally-trained by Michael Frappell, PUNDIT is second-up here after a solid maiden win last start. After showing a lost of promise early in his last campaign, the Tycoon Ruler gelding lost his way at his last two starts and was spelled for five months. Returning to the track last month he hit the ground running and led all the way, untroubled to break his maiden status over 1050m on this track. He carries a similar weight here and I can see him repeating his last start effort in this company.

Race 7 - 8:40PM Joyce Mayne Toowoomba Maiden Plate (1300 METRES)
We have a maiden to end the program and the Court Command mare ROSIE’S TIARA caught my eye with her honest effort last start and deserves to break through here. After being brought down by another runner two starts back, she was spelled for four months. First-up from that fall, she drew wide again but was content to sit back at the start. In the run home, she was tormented by two runners on her inside who kept hanging out and made it hard for her to run a straight line. She hit the line hard in the final 50m and got up for third money. Jockey Baylee Nothdurft must be wondering what she has to do to break through on the four-year-old mare. From her six rides to date, the young rider has collected no less than four minor prizes but gets her chance here to break the duck. Drawn out again, she will more than likely settle back in the field and again look to come wide and late. Fitter from that last run, she will be hard to hold out here.

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Saturday Racing Tips and Previews July 7 - best chances for Australian horse racing on Saturday

Read our complete guide to the best bets for July 7, racing at Belmont, Doomben, Flemington, Gawler, Gold Coast, Newcastle, Randwick and Toowoomba.

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