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Saturday Racing Tips and Previews May 12 - best chances for Australian horse racing on Saturday

  • Guide to Saturday's best bets and previews
  • In-depth previews of the feature races and selections to back

Read our complete guide to the best bets for May 12, racing at Ascot, Caulfield, Doomben, Gold Coast, Kembla Grange, Morphettville, Scone and Toowoomba.

ASCOT (Aaron Hamilton)


Race 4 - CHANGING LIVES HANDICAP (2100m) 2:24pm

An impressive last start victory by MIDDLE EARTH, and although he goes up 2kg here, he should have them covered. He was shuffled back to last place over 1800m at Ascot and was held up coming into the turn as jockey Patrick Carbery opted to chase a run inside horses that didn’t eventuate. After getting to the outside, the son of Blackfriars absolutely motored home to get up in the last few strides. On breeding, he should appreciate the step up in trip, and his racing style and ideal preparation make him a standout in this event. 
Race 8 - BREAK THE CYCLE OF HOMELESSNESS HANDICAP (1500m) 5:00pm

Happy to stick with PINZU who looks perfectly placed in this and was a touch unlucky last time. He settled three pairs back behind the eventual winner War God, but while War God got a rails run and pounced on the lead, Pinzu was slightly held up and only got warmed up late. He made up good ground on the winner who was fading, and the step up to 1500m suits. 

CAULFIELD (Aaron Hamilton)


Race 5 - HERITAGE FINANCE HANDICAP (1440m) 2:20pm

The Tony McEvoy-trained SILVERA goes extremely well fresh with two wins from three attempts, and his only unplaced first-up run was when working home strongly behind stablemate Hey Doc in the Group 3 CS Hayes Stakes (1400m). He was scratched from Flemington last Saturday in a 1600m event and now lines up over 1440m.  His recent barrier trial suggests he’s come back in great order. He was never out of second gear when defeating Calderon and Guizot in a 990m trial at Cranbourne, and Calderon was only 4.5 lengths from the winner in the Listed Anniversary Vase (1400m) first-up where nothing made ground from the rear. Silvera was a clear standout in the trial and will be charging home fresh down the long Flemington straight. 
Race 8 - LE PINE FUNERALS HANDICAP (2000m) 4:20pm

When Darren Weir gets excited about a horse, you know it must be good, and FURRION has nothing to suggest he isn’t a future star. The three-year-old son of Camelot scored on debut in a 1300m maiden before smashing a BM64 field by 4.5 lengths and then winning as he pleased in BM70 company last start at Warrnambool as he stepped up to 1700m. Being a northern hemisphere-bred youngster, he’s technically only two years old but is blessed with a stack of ability and is comfortably beating the older horses. He takes on a bunch of three-year-olds here and should be winning this before heading to the QLD Derby.
Race 9 - CATANACH'S JEWELLERS HANDICAP (2000m) 4:52pm

Confidence is high with HURSLEY on Saturday. The Chris Waller-trained galloper has a great record at the track and trip with three wins and four placings from eight starts. He stepped up to 2000m at his second run this campaign and just peaked on his run late while carrying 69.5kg. He now drops 1.5kg thanks to Ethan Brown’s 2kg claim, and he should strip fitter this time around. 

DOOMBEN (Steve Bennett)


Race 2 - Ambassador Travel Hcp (BM85) 1350m

Whilst this is his biggest test to date, the David Vandyke trained Eminent looks well placed here and given the forecast of a wet track can give this a real shake. First-up after a four month spell, he came from last on the turn to win a class 5 over 1200m at the Sunshine Coast. He is unbeaten second-up and drops 2.5kgs on his last start win. He has placed two of three on heavy tracks which indicates the conditions shouldn’t pose a problem. He had drawn outside of race favourite Oink and meets him 3.5kgs better. Scratched from the Queensland Day Stakes to run here, he is right in the mix.
Race 6 - Suez Queensland Day Stakes (Listed) 1350m

A smart field of three-year-olds line up here with the Godolphin stable representative Marsupial looking the one to beat. After two close-up second placings when resuming this campaign, he then won two in a row. A victory in BM80 company at Warwick Farm was followed closely by a win on debut at Doomben. With Jim Byrne in the saddle, he sat mid-field and finished too well for his rivals. He has drawn ideally here in gate three and Jim Byrne remains aboard after his last start success. The speedmap suggests he will box-seat here and enjoy a trail just behind the pace. The Street Cry gelding is in good touch after four runs back and should be at his peak for this.
Race 8 - Doomben 10,000 (Group 1) 1200m

A wealth of Group One winners here will face the starter including a Magic Millions and Everest winner who head a star studded line up. With a wet track predicted it opens the door to many outsiders however Everest winner Redzel stands out at the pick of the bunch. The top class sprinter franked his Everest win with a victory in the Group One Darley Classic at Flemington. Then second-up this preparation took out the Group Two Challenge Stakes in easy fashion. His last start second behind Trapeze Artist in the Group One TJ Smith Stakes was full of merit given that he conceded 2kgs to the Snitzel colt. Redzel has drawn ideally in gate six with his early gate speed should be just off the pace. Although suspended after Wednesday’s Warwick Farm meeting, Kerrin McEvoy has been granted leave for this Saturday and will partner the Everest winner for the 10th time, having already steered him to victory on six previous occasions. He is the class runner of the race and looks to remain unbeaten at Doomben.

GOLD COAST (Steve Bennett)


Race 2 - AJ Bridge & Spida Maiden Plate 1800m

The ever consistent Reckless Choice gets yet another chance to break free from his maiden class shackles. Yet to miss a top three finish this preparation, the Choisir gelding has been thereabouts at his last four starts and deserves to break through here. Two starts back he finished second at Ipswich over 1350m on his first dry track this year. He then followed that with a solid effort at Grafton where he drew the car park (gate 14) and carried 59kgs to finish third behind Savvy Rock over 1710m. He steps up to the 1800m here but does drop in weight and has drawn a decent gate this time jumping from the middle of the field. New rider Ryan Plumb will have options here and could either lead or take a sit behind the pace. Either way, he looks well placed and should figure in the finish again.
Race 4 - NBN News Hcp (BM75) 900m

Plenty of early pace here as you expect in a 900 metre sprint. The David Murphy trained Mr Hennessey is two starts into this preparation and should be ready to peak here. First-up he ran out of condition and finished unplaced at Doomben over 1150m. Last start he tried to lead all the way and nearly pulled it off, getting caught on the line by three others, relegating him to fourth, beaten just half a length in a BM75 over 1000m. He returns here from a six-week freshen-up and coming back to the 900m trip should suit his front-running style better. He jumps from barrier eight and should find a prominent spot near the lead early. Banking on his fitness, he could give this field something to chase in the run home.
Race 6 - 92.5 Gold FM Hcp (Class 5) 1200m

A big field here opens this race right up and should see a real battle up front with several front runners looking for a forward position. This should suit seven-year-old Johnny Be Quick who is in career best form this preparation with top three finishes at every start. After two starts over 1400m, he came back to the 1200m trip last start which seemed to suit him better as he took out the event by more than a length, hitting the line strongly. Here he meets a much bigger field of competitors and will have to be at his best to gain the upper hand. Ten starts at the trip have ended in three victories and no less than six minor placings. He has drawn ideally in gate three and should be sitting pretty somewhere better than mid-field. Five starts into this preparation, he will be at his peak and looks a genuine winning chance in this field.

KEMBLA GRANGE (Ric Chapman)


Race 1 - 11:46AM KEELY MAIDEN PLATE (1500 METRES)

I like the look of this Chris Waller-trained maiden named NAUTIBERNIE. Every time I hear her name I think of Bernie Cooper. Anyway, this Bernie is pretty handy, especially late in a race and I suspect now that she has 3 runs under her belt, that she will be rocketing down the centre of this track. Distance suits perfectly. Bon Warrior hangs on for 2nd.
Race 3 - 1:01PM CAMP QUALITY 3YO C&G MAIDEN HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

This filly NAPOLI has been improving with racing and age. She's only a 3YO but what she is showing now, compared to a year ago, is chalk and cheese. Went hard at Goulburn last start when 3rd this grade and small field suits this time around. Battle Anthem plugs on for 2nd.
Race 7 - 3:36PM TEAM ILLAWARRA BENCHMARK 65 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

This is a pretty strong BM 65 with a few in form. Choice Laga beat this grade last start but raises in weight. Will still be on lead and competitive but I like the bush galloper ALVIN PURPLE. he's been doing impressive things in weaker grade of late, earning his tripes. Can settle back and has a turn of foot now that he's fit. Quinella the pair.

MORPHETTVILLE (Aaron Hamilton)


Race 3 - M & J CHICKENS AUTUMN SERIES FINAL (MPKS TRACK) (1400m) 1:26pm

TATOOSH lost no admirers last start when being caught wide without cover up on the speed as he stepped up to 1800m for the first time.  Despite looming as a danger and weakening late, it’s hard to suggest he didn’t get the trip after he endured a tough run. The sharp drop back in distance here is interesting, but trainer Will Clarken knows the horse well and wouldn’t be running him without a winning chance following his scintillating form. 

Race 4 - UBET SA SIRES' PRODUCE STAKES (MPARKS TRACK) (1400m) 2:06pm

The first three home in the Breeders Stakes (1200m) head the market here, but I was really taken with the last start run of Archie Alexander’s filly MISS HELLBENDER. She covered a stack of ground in the VOBIS 2YO Sires (1200m) where she was caught three and four deep without cover for the trip. She then got into a serious bumping dual with Skeptical Lad down the straight, yet she picked herself back up and really attacked the line to grab 3rd place. Step up in trip is ideal considering how much ground she covered last start, and she should enjoy a soft run from barrier 4.
Race 5 - ADELAIDE GALVANISING ADELAIDE GUINEAS (1600m) 2:46pm

It was a horrible watch if you were on PEACEFUL STATE last start as he was shuffled back to last place and was still back there with 200m to go, but the way he let down between runners and charged to victory was most impressive. That was the unwinnable, and considering he won, I can’t see anything or any circumstances standing between him and victory again. 
Race 7 - UBET SOUTH AUSTRALIAN DERBY (2500m) 4:06pm


SCONE (Ric Chapman)


Race 2 - 12:50PM VINERY STUD BENCHMARK 80 HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

This bloke CRADLE MOUNTAIN could be a rising superstar in the sprinting world. He can carry weight, he can run astonishing mid race sectionals and he is going for 5 straight wins here. Likes to lead, will do that here and break their hearts. Another Aan could chase him home in 2nd.

Race 5 - 2:45PM EMIRATES PARK DENISE'S JOY STAKES (1100 METRES)

A month or so ago, Demerara raced SHE KNOWS at level weights at Flemington and beat her home by nearly 3 lengths. Since then, Demerara has been beaten and She Knows has won a race. They clash here again with She Knows receiving 5.5kg. That might be enough to turn the tables.

Race 6 - 3:25PM YARRAMAN PARK LUSKIN STAR STAKES (1300 METRES)

This is a good even field with the weight scale making it that way. I was really taken by the way RED EXCITEMENT quickened late in his 1040m trial recently. He sat out the back, smoking his pipe then launched. Obviously longer race will suit more and more pressure early means he will be allowed to settle. The rising star OSBORNE BULLS has to be considered too.


TOOWOOMBA (Steve Bennett)


Race 1 - Fox and Willow Boutique Plate (Class 1) 1625m

The lightly-raced three-year-old Mezcal lines up here after a strong win last start. Having just her third race start, the Real Saga filly took her place in a 1300m maiden at Toowoomba where she was ridden a treat by Ron Goltz and went on to beat her rivals by nearly two lengths. She has drawn wide here however the field isn’t overly strong and with her early gate speed, we should see her in a forward position. Winning rider Ron Goltz remains aboard. A last start winner here, she is right in the mix.
Race 2 - AG Rigging Hcp (Class 2) 1200m

The Gary Osborne trained Bubba Rocker looks well placed here despite her last start failure against similar company. Resuming from a spell, the Easy Rocking mare beat home a class 1 field here over 1050m. She then took on a class 2 field over 1000m at Ipswich. Jumping from gate 10 she was caught wide and never got into the race, but still hit the line strongly to finish within three lengths of the winner. The short turnaround here will enhance her chances of turning the tables on her rivals. Third-up she will strip fitter and from the rails gate will save plenty of ground. She should be box-seating at some stage and looks right in the mix.
Race 7 - Joe Wagner Group Hcp (Class 4) 1625m

Locally trained from the Ben Currie stables, Mishani Vaidra is yet to miss a top three finish. Just four career starts have led to three victories as the Show A Heart filly remains unbeaten this preparation. A first-up win here in class 2 company over 1300m was closely followed by another comfortable victory in similar company at Dalby over 1400m. Currie has shown his confidence in the filly by putting her up in class and distance as she now tackles the mile. She draws well in gate five but the small field takes the importance of the draw out of play. She will carry 3kgs more than her last start but looks good enough to handle it at this stage. Looking for three in a row, she is a promising filly who prove hard to beat here.



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Saturday Racing Tips and Previews May 12 - best chances for Australian horse racing on Saturday

Read our complete guide to the best bets for May 12, racing at Ascot, Caulfield, Doomben, Gold Coast, Kembla Grange, Morphettville, Scone and Toowoomba.

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