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Australian Oaks Tips and Preview - Kiwi filly might be a cut above them

Aaron Hamilton in Latest News 11 Apr 2018
  • NZ Oaks has produced the last two winners.
  • Vinery Stud Stakes and Adrian Knox Stakes the other strong form references.

There are three strong form races to consider when trying to find the winner of Saturday’s Group 1 Australian Oaks (2400m) at Royal Randwick. 

All bar two runners come through the Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m), Adrian Knox Stakes (2000m) or the New Zealand Oaks (2400m) – while rank outsiders Naivasha and Wild Sea come off big maiden wins. 

There were four clear standouts in the Vinery Stud Stakes with Hiyaam leading all the way to score impressively, Unforgotten charging home from well back to grab 2nd, Aloisia did it tough out wide and was still making ground to finish 3rd, while Alizee also did it tough three wide without cover up on the speed and battle away for 4th. 

I can’t see anything else from that race getting the better of the first four home. 

The New Zealand Oaks has produced the last two winners of this race, and on Saturday, we see the NZ Oaks winner, Savvy Coup, lining up, as well as 2nd placed Contessa Vanessa.

Of that pair, Savvy Coup looks the top pick.

Contessa Vanessa sat one out and one back with a perfect trail while Savvy Coup was a few pairs back on the outside.

But on the turn, Savvy Coup covered more ground and was exposed earlier, and she also went to the line under less pressure and was pulling away with every stride. 

We can also line that form up in Australia to some extent with She’s A Treasure finishing 4.5 lengths from Savvy Coup in the Lowland Stakes (2100m) and then finishing 2.5 lengths from Luvaluva in the Adrian Knox Stakes last Saturday.

Luvaluva carried 60kg to win that race and now meets these fillies at level weights.

Considering Luvaluva is proven over this trip having finished 4th in the VRC Oaks, and now meets She’s A Treasure and other Adrian Knox runners 6.5kg to 7kg better at the weights, it’s hard to see them turning the tables on her. 

So, on last start form, that leaves us with Luvaluva, Savvy Coup, Hiyaam, Unforgotten, Aloisia and Alizee. 

Luvaluva, Hiyaam and Aloisia all competed in the Kennedy Oaks (2500m) at Flemington, and while Aloisia may have run her race before the gates opened, Hiyaam simply outstayed Luvaluva and was strongest to the line.

Trainer Mick Price saw another string added to her bow last start where she led all the way, and this may be the key for a filly that will certainly run the trip and more.

Unforgotten is by Fastnet Rock and out of a Galileo mare, so she could be a real stayer in the making but that’s yet to be seen.

As for the NZ Oaks pair, Bonneval won the NZ Oaks in a time of 2:31.990 (Soft 5) before smashing her Australian Oaks rivals, and the previous year, Fanatic defeated Sofia Rosa in a time of 2:29.470 before Sofia Rosa scored in the Australian Oaks. 

Savvy Coup stopped the clock in 2:29.030 on a Good track, so she must rate highly compared to previous winners. 

Savvy Coup also possesses that will to win having won five and placed three of her past eight starts. 

I think she had another gear to offer in the NZ Oaks as jockey Chris Johnson drove her hands and heels to the line, and she should appreciate the long straight at Randwick where she can wind up strongly.

From barrier 2, she won’t have to do any work and can settle back in the field with cover, and if Johnson can get rolling on the turn and be within a few lengths of the leader, she can overhaul them. 

Unforgotten, Hiyaam, Luvaluva and She’s A Treasure go in for the placings.

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Australian Oaks Tips and Preview - Kiwi filly might be a cut above them

There are three strong form races to consider when trying to find the winner of Saturday’s Group 1 Australian Oaks (2400m) at Royal Randwick.

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