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Ipswich Cup Tips and Preview - local Star's time to shine

Aaron Hamilton in Latest News 15 Jun 2017
  • Top weights have very poor record in the race.
  • In-form local can make his own luck up front.
  • Confidence rating: 70%
Kerrin McEvoy rides Maurus to win The Schweppes Handicap

Historically, the Ipswich Cup (2150m) favours gallopers that are toward the bottom of the weights, and that leaves arguably the best horse in the race with an difficult challenge.

I’ve no doubt that Benzini is the most talented galloper contesting the race in 2017, but he’s been pretty much weighted out of the race with 60kg.

Other than Maurus who defied history and scored with 58kg on his back last year, only two horses (Golden Rhapsody, 1981 & Brave Ali, 2014) have carried 56kg or more to victory in the past 70 years – both horses carried 56.5kg. 

But part of the reason Maurus was able to win with 58kg was due to the fact others carried equal or more weight, while the rest with 54kg were clearly inferior.

Benzini carries 60kg on Saturday, and last year’s runner-up, Jumbo Prince, has been allocated 58kg (1.5kg more than last year), while Sort After carries 54.5kg and the remainder of the field carry 54kg.

To make things even worse for the top two, the track is rated a Heavy 9 which will favour those with less weight on their backs.

So, I’m steering clear of Benzini and Jumbo Prince with their big weights on the Heavy track.

Of the remaining contenders, I rate Sort After as the best, but she prefers it dry, and although she has placed on Heavy going, that was in maiden company.

I think others will get through the mud better, and with the top three in the market knocked out, we can try and find some real value. 

The John Wilcock-trained Court’s Star appeals on a few levels and will be ridden by top local hoop Tegan Harrison. 

Harrison has a better strike rate at Ipswich than she does at any other QLD track, and from barrier 5, she won’t have to do too much work to find the front and run along at a tempo that suits Court’s Star. 

The five-year-old son of Court Command has been up a while and is extremely fit, but following a 42-day break, he’s now had four runs and will be back to his peak.

He defeated Spirit Of Kiowa three starts back over 1800m and has since placed at Ipswich (1700m) and Gold Coast (1800m) again when trying to lead all the way.

He ran consecutive placings over 2200m earlier this campaign so the distance won’t be an issue on Saturday, and his wet track form is superior to his dry track form.

This is tough race with many chances, but Court’s Star is a horse in form that will handle the going and won’t need luck in running because he’s the likely leader.

At $19 to win and $5.30 to place with Ladbrokes, he’s a great value each-way chance.



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Ipswich Cup Tips and Preview - local Star's time to shine

Historically, the Ipswich Cup (2150m) favours gallopers that are toward the bottom of the weights, and that leaves arguably the best horse in the race with an difficult challenge.

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