Form analyst Trent Orwin previews his best selections for Pinjarra on Monday.
Race 1 (1:09pm local/3:09pm AEST) – WESTBRED GRADUATION MS PACE – 2185m
Most of these maiden pacers are lightly-raced which suggests a few of them still have improvement left in them.
The Watch Maker should run an improved race from barrier one and his effort when second behind Heez Chivalrous at Bridgetown last month was good. He was beaten 4m by that horse who has since won again.
His effort when eighth at Gloucester Park wasn’t completely horrible; he was simply outclassed but still paced a time that should be more than competitive against this field on an each-way basis (currently $8 and $2.25).
Swift In Flight quickly turned around his form in the space of a week and while it looked very good on paper, I am not sold on it yet and wouldn’t be taking odds-on about this horse today but it does have strong claims nonetheless.
Just Above has plenty of tricks but his best form gives him each-way claims in this race. Others to consider are Flying Phoebe who looks a big improver from her good draw, Soho Entourage, Truleylucky, Soho Entourage and even Dollars And Cents at massive odds.
Race 4 (3:03pm local/5:03pm AEST) – MS PACE – 2185m
A wide-open event with plenty of winning chances. Racey American has the gate speed to lead if she wants and I don’t know whether that will be the play here or whether she will take a sit on a horse such as Destined To Rule, Hoiho or Our Danger Mouse.
She led and won at Narrogin so that could be the plan and if that happens it brings Gonzos Shadow right into the race.
A last-start winner over Sea Me Smile, Gonzos Shadow has beaten Doc Ryan twice in the past 12 months and was held up badly three starts ago at Bunbury when full of running. Hoiho was in that event and looks a strong chance here also.
Gonzos Shadow can be backed each-way ($11/$3.20) and should run a big race if he gets any clear running late.
Race 8 (4:49pm local/6:49pm AEST) – CONDITIONED HANDICAP SS PACE – 2631m
The big guns will begin from the 30m handicap and they are good enough to win from this deficit but they wouldn’t want it to be any more as a few in front of them can make them pay.
Sky Art was third at Gloucester Park last start and he is a speed horse that will appreciate a bigger trick here. In addition, he could map well with a couple of potential breeze horses in the race that he may be able to go ahead of before gaining cover.
One concern is that he hasn’t started off 30m before but his recent form is good enough and he is prepared by recent WA Derby-winning father-son combination of trainer Andrew De Campo and driver Aiden De Campo.
Assassinator will run his usual race and can win while Avalon Bromac has class and is racing well.