Form analyst Trent Orwin previews his best selections for Pinjarra on Monday.
Race 1 (12:48pm local/3:48pm AEDT) – 2YO MS PACE – 1684m
I’m probably going to regret tipping into a race with four debutants and limited form. In addition, there are different formlines to consider but I’m keen on the Andrew De Campo-trained two-year-old filly Orphan Reactor.
She appears to drop in grade after meeting high-class fillies Cott Beach and Tenniele Erin. To my eye they look Group 1 company and Orphan Reactor was simply outclassed behind them.
Orphan Reactor showed a little bit of gate speed and Ooshtaa didn’t show much on debut in terms of early speed so the De Campo filly should cross and if Mistersandman isn’t quick Orphan Reactor could take up the running.
Her individual sectionals look to rate well for this event but there is guesswork using trial form.
Universal Major was a nice debut run when second and looks a strong chance.
Stablemates Mistersandman and Rock Me Over trialled close together and Rock Me Over had no luck on debut when appearing to have something left – he should have finished much closer and could run well.
Race 6 (3:40pm local/6:40pm AEDT) – MS PACE – 2185m
I’m really looking forward to this race as it looks very competitive on paper. There is some chance that Just Bet On Black may prove far too good coming off a 29.5m victory over Estocada at Gloucester Park.
He led on that occasion but that doesn’t look the case here with My Entourage the likely leader. Saleahs Comand can leave the gate and may have a look from barrier five.
My Entourage scored a much-deserved win last start against inferior company. His sectionals weren’t flash in that event but this horse has broken 56 for his last half a couple of times already.
I’m taking a formline through Davinci Diamond who is one of the leading chances for the feature race on the program (see Race 7) and My Entourage was only beaten 5.1m by that horse at Bunbury last month.
Estocada and Saleahs Comand also have decent claims on this event with the winner likely to come from the four horses mentioned above.
Race 7 (4:07pm local/7:07pm AEDT) – WA COUNTRY DERBY – 2185m
The Group 3 WA Country Derby looks a terrific contest and there is plenty of early gate speed with Bettor Be Lively, Davinci Diamond and Handsandwheels all likely to run the gate at the start.
I favour Bettor Be Lively or Davinci Diamond to lead with Handsandwheels unlikely to cross the pair of them from the 2185m start point.
Davinci Diamond has really impressed me in recent runs and he was able to win a hat-trick of races before three unplaced efforts – two of them in the Group 2 Caduceus Club Classic (2130m) and Battle of Bunbury (2100m).
It was his run in the Caduceus Club Classic which caught the eye as he crossed to the pegs from barrier four and was in turn then crossed by Wesley who comes up with the second-row in this event. Davinci Diamond finished powerfully to run fifth, beaten 5m by Rock Diamonds who has been performing well since then.
Bettor Be Lively is hardest to beat because he should either be leading or racing behind the leader (could be three pegs at worst) but the market will likely account for that and Davinci Diamond should be the best value in the race.
Wesley has plenty of class and can overcome barrier nine if he produces his best while Handsandwheels, Kasey John, Courage To Live and Somewhereonlyiknow look next best from their tougher draws.