Form analyst Trent Orwin previews his best selections for Gloucester Park on Tuesday night.
Race 1 (4:23pm local/7:23pm AEDT) – 3YO WESTBRED MS PACE – 2130m
Bettor Be Lively is the class runner and the small field of seven runners suits him as he has the best closing sectionals in the race. He can sit back and come with one run as he isn’t a horse that likes to work in the breeze position.
All The Whispers showed good gate speed to lead two starts ago when a narrow second behind Bob Wheel. She beat home Bettor Be Lively on that occasion but he was the better run.
Colin Brown has two moderate beginners to his inside and has a very quick beginner, Soho Changeling, to his outside and he should charge off the arm in search for the lead – All The Whispers may be able to cross, otherwise Brown may try to force Combat Crusade into handing up.
Combat Crusade ran home fairly last time in a good last half and has each-way prospects along with Rocknstar who could improve first-up and Soho Changeling who is very consistent but may not be able to lead here.
Race 3 (5:20pm local/8:20pm AEDT) – MS PACE – 2536m
Stunin Eyes Only is the class runner in the field but she races best in a sit-sprint capacity which means she often requires an element of luck. That couldn’t be found last start when a tragedy beaten. Expect her to go around close to odds-on and the lead is unlikely to be up for grabs.
Ideal Flipflop has been poor at his past two (breaking once) and from barrier eight he has each-way prospects but I will ignore him at the current quote.
Bettor Twisted was second over course and distance six starts ago and should enjoy a soft run until being asked for the supreme effort. His last-start fourth was encouraging against Rudimental Sol and Stunin Eyes Only. Looks excellent value at $21 and $4.33.
Master Play, Bandar and Top Flight Cruize look next best.
Race 4 (5:50pm local/8:50pm AEDT) – MS PACE – 1730m
The iron-horse Shardons Rocket drops significantly in grade and he will be driven like a bulldozer as he heads straight to the breeze and looks to run his opposition into the ground. The sprint-trip doesn’t suit but it may be negated by the class drop.
Cogeday will be mustering in a bid to try and hold the lead. His ability to run a quick mile rate is questionable with his best 1:54.4 over 1609m at Bunbury in November.
His run against Shardons Rocket two starts ago wasn’t too bad when knocked over and finishing well. He will need to find some improvement but looks a touch of value in the race.
Little Astro Boy has strong each-way claims if he doesn’t gallop while Mach Denario also has each-way claims despite the wide draw.
Race 5 (6:20pm local/9:20pm AEDT) – MS PACE – 1730m
I found this race really difficult to decipher and thought I wouldn’t have a tip. After looking at the early prices, Cyclonedomic and Trents Courage are the two selections. There are only seven runners left following the scratching of Jilliby Courage so it’s not worth an each-way bet for Cyclonedomic.
Looks to be heaps of speed early with Disturbia and Better Than Money engaged. This could bring Cyclonedomic and Trents Courage into the race.
Starting with Trents Courage, he is an honest sit-sprinter that has been running home in good time. Two starts ago he sprinted home in 55.5 seconds around this circuit for his final 800m. This looks a very suitable class compared to recent efforts.
Cyclonedomic hasn’t had too many barrier draws and his last win at Northam suggests he has claims in this event. He defeated All Williams who would run well in this company.
Disturbia can improve from barrier one and Better Than Money transfers to Kyle Harper. If he leads then he will give a huge sight, otherwise he is in a world of pain.
Race 6 (6:50pm local/9:50pm AEDT) – DISCRETIONARY HANDICAP SS PACE – 2503m
Assassinator begins from the inside of the 10m handicap and if he can navigate a path, possibly underneath Glenferrie Affair if it gallops away, then he could be very hard to beat.
Finding the lead is probably less likely than more likely (although we hope more likely) but this horse is racing in excellent form and this looks a suitable stand.
His past two efforts have been very good and it was his narrow second behind Gaz Wannabet that took my interest. A repeat performance should see him the winner but there is some opposition to get past first.
Glenferrie Affair needs to step cleanly. His last couple have been poor but he can bounce back from a good draw.
Three Blind Mice and Fifth edition are class horses. They both have each-way claims in the race. To be fair, most of them can run into the placings with a clean getaway and the right run throughout.