Race 1 (5:50pm local/8:50pm AEDT) – MS PACE – 1730m
Competitive race to kick off the program with Jilliby Courage leading, Argyle Red likely to face the breeze, McClinchie behind the leader and The Storm Chief or Responder 1 out 1 back. Responder generally drops to the pegs and could restrain to land behind McClinchie in the run.
Jilliby Courage was disappointing at Wagin back in December and I cannot have any faith in him here. That could impact McClinchie who needs some luck and that’s why I have put The Storm Chief on top.
The Storm Chief is extremely consistent and if he gets the run 1 out 1 back then he may be too quick over the concluding stages. Chris Lewis takes the drive which also boosts confidence.
It’s unlikely the winner will come from a horse that hasn’t been mentioned above.
Race 2 (6:24pm local/9:24pm AEDT) – MS PACE – 2130m
Looks a race in three with Irockmyworld, James Galleon and Gaz Wannabet drawn barriers one, two and three respectively. Irockmyworld is moderate out but should hold them which leaves James Galleon to take one-one cover and Gaz Wannabet in the breeze (or vice-versa if Gaz Wannabet restrains to trail James Galleon).
Irockmyworld was a good winner five starts ago when leading throughout in a C5+ event over 2536m. He defeated Three Blind Mice, Borntobeanartist and Atlastalone.
This is a touch stronger and the race is only over the 2130m but Irockmyworld still looks the horse to beat. His latest effort was pretty good when runner up behind Soho Chelsea.
Bethany Aitch has place claims as she could land behind the leader.
We may get better than $2.50 about Irockmyworld so happy to wait and see if we can get around the $3 mark before investing.
Race 3 (6:54pm local/9:54pm AEDT) – MS PACE – 2130m
I really wanted to tip Hez The Artisan but I think Little Astro Boy is better value if he can hold his back throughout.
Trained and driven by Nathan Turvey, Little Astro Boy ($7.50/$2.15) was placed twice in December before a seventh and fifth in January. I thought the fifth-placing was pretty good as the last half was very quick for this class of horse and he was hitting the line well.
Hez The Artisan will be the hardest to beat and it’s a fairly even field where barrier draws have determined the leading contenders.
Race 6 (8:30pm local/11:30pm AEDT) – MS PACE – 2130m
Red Salute has the speed to hold up if he wants, otherwise he will relinquish the lead to Condrieu who returns to the west after a stint in NSW.
El Machine ($31/$5) is an ambush artist and he gets those conditions here as he will race behind the leader or three back on the pegs. His last two runs have been full of merit and he represents value on an each-way basis.
Major Reality is the lone mare engaged and also the class horse after an excellent win last time when running home in 54.5 seconds. She will have to do some work here or give them a headstart but can be in the finish.
Erskine Range should be handy to the speed while Lisharry and Bronze Seeker will run home strongly.
Race 7 (9:00pm local/12:00am AEDT) – DAINTYS DAUGHTER CLASSIC – 2130m
Lady Luca will hold up and gets her chance at more feature race glory after capturing the Group 1 Diamond Classic (1730m) as a two-year-old.
She has been building nicely this preparation and her last-start effort put the writing on the wall that she is ready to win. Her start prior made the same statement and she will look to use her barrier advantage over rivals to lead them from start to stop.
Sarah Goody gets a lovely trail and can be dangerous late if she gets clear running.
Maczaffair has the horror draw but is the most versatile of the fillies and can win from a number of positions.
I’d prefer to watch Soho Angel at her first start at the track but she must be respected for trainer Michael Stanley.
Im Stylish has each-way claims along with Hit It Rich while Betshes Precious is a place knockout and I will be having something on her (very small each-way) at the $101 and $21 with UBET.