Form analyst Trent Orwin previews his best selections for Bunbury on Saturday night.
Race 4 (7:45pm local/9:45pm AEST) – 3YO MS PACE – 2100m
A very open three-year-old race on the program and I’m happy to tip Bravo Tex on an each-way basis because he could get a nice run throughout. From barrier four he may go forward knowing that Punters Dream or Heza Head Honcho, two of the classier horses in the field, may want the spot outside of the leader.
Rocknroll Beachboy was a good winner at Gloucester Park last start but this is a class rise with a lot more depth engaged. He looks under his true odds in the early market.
Bravo Tex will struggle to win if he goes back but the map I have is him forward with cover and he can run a quick last half which is suitable around the Bunbury circuit.
The run that I like most from the Justin Prentice-trained three-year-old gelding is his fourth-placed effort at Pinjarra in January when making a three-wide move without cover and finishing 9.7m off Davinci Diamond.
Race 5 (8:10pm local/10:10pm AEST) – WESTBRED MS PACE – 2100m
Abraxas Blues is my top pick and I was really keen on tipping him until seeing the early market and noticing that consistent mare See What Happens has come up $31 and $6. The place price is very appealing and she is extremely honest.
I hope I don’t regret the tip but I will go with See What Happens on an each-way basis because she should be running home strongly and is likely to be racing on the leader’s back.
From her past seven starts, I was only disappointed once with the way she finished and remaining runs she was hitting the line well which is a positive sign.
Ignite The Passion is the main danger to Abraxas Blues and has strong claims while Brotha Ofa Gangsta, Disco Under Fire and Lot Twenty One look next best.
Race 8 (9:30pm local/11:30pm AEST) – MS PACE – 2100m
A match-race between Dave Obrien and Im The Best to conclude the program and Dave Obrien has the barrier draw advantage over his adversary. Im The Best looks quicker off the arm but not quick enough to cross Dave Obrien who has fairly good gate speed himself.
Catastrophic Event has barrier one but should hand or be crossed by one of the big guns. She doesn’t look up to them and it would be a shock if one of the two did not win; they could run each other into the ground of course and leave it open, but barring that, Dave Obrien or Im The Best will salute and both runners should be under $4 with one of them odds-on.
Four starts ago Dave Obrien won well when leading throughout to defeat Hoiho and Clares Fool. A repeat performance should see him salute.